Uruguay – Bolivia

Copa America Group Stage

Detailed Analysis

Based on statistical data and expert analysis, I provide a thorough overview of the Uruguay-Bolivia Copa América match. By combining data and analysis, we can gain deeper insights into the expected events, team performances, and potential betting opportunities.

Uruguay Statistics

Uruguay’s performance so far is remarkable. Statistics reveal that they secured a 3-1 victory against Panama in the first match. Their xG (expected goals) value was 1.5, which is lower than the actual goals (3) but still shows significant attacking play. Their xGA (expected goals against) value was 0.6, indicating strong defensive performance.

Key Players:

• Darwin Núñez: Scored 1 goal from 5 shots, with an xG value of 0.9, showing effective conversion of chances.
• Federico Valverde: Has an 82.4% pass accuracy, took 4 shots but didn’t score. His presence in midfield provides stability and creativity.

Bolivia Statistics

Bolivia suffered a 2-0 defeat against the USA in their first match. Their xG value was only 0.2, showing they created few chances. Their xGA value was 2.5, reflecting poor defensive performance.

Key Players:

• Gabriel Villamíl: High pass accuracy (92.3%) but low attacking efficiency.
• Guillermo Vizcarra: 75% save rate, but faced many shots due to defensive weaknesses.

Team Performance and Form

Uruguay is showing an improving trend, having won their last two matches with a total goal difference of 7-1. This indicates the strength of their attack and the stability of their defense. Bolivia, on the other hand, has suffered consecutive defeats and has only won one of their last 31 Copa América matches.

Betting Tips and Risks

Low-Risk Tips:

1. Uruguay Win (1X2 Market): Based on statistics and form, Uruguay is a strong favorite, and experts agree. Low risk.
2. Darwin Núñez to Score: Given Núñez’s form and efficiency, he is likely to score. Low risk.

Medium-Risk Tips:

1. Uruguay Leading at Halftime: Historical statistics suggest that if Uruguay leads at halftime, they are likely to win the match. Medium risk.
2. Over 2.5 Goals in the Match (Over 1.5 Goals is low risk): Given Uruguay’s strong attacking performance, it’s possible for three or more goals to be scored in the match. Medium risk.

Summary and Trends

Based on Uruguay’s strong attacking and defensive performance, their winning streak, and Bolivia’s poor form, it is likely that Uruguay will dominate the match. Low-risk betting tips include a win for Uruguay, Darwin Núñez to score, and few goal-scoring chances for Bolivia. Medium-risk tips could be Uruguay leading at halftime, over 2.5 goals being scored, and a yellow card for Bolivia in the first half. These tips are based on a combination of statistical data and expert analysis, considering the teams’ form, performance, and motivation.