Hammarby – IFK Göteborg

Swedish Allsvenskan

Detailed Analysis of the Hammarby vs IFK Göteborg Match

Statistical Overview: Hammarby

Hammarby has shown inconsistent performance throughout the season, but their form has been improving recently. In their 13 matches, they have secured 7 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a total of 21 goals scored and 15 conceded, resulting in a +6 goal difference. They are particularly strong at home, with 5 wins out of 6 matches.

Key Players and Performance:

1. Nahir Besara: 5 goals and 5 assists in 13 matches. He averages 3.15 shots per match, with 1.15 on target.
2. Deniz Gül: 2 goals and 1 assist in 12 matches, averaging 1.81 shots per match.
3. Tesfaldet Tekie: 2 goals in 11 matches, with solid midfield performance, averaging 1.08 shots per match, with 0.45 on target.

Göteborg Statistics:

Göteborg has 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses in their 13 matches, with 13 goals scored and 21 conceded, resulting in a -8 goal difference. Their away form is particularly weak, with no wins in their last 5 away matches.

Key Players and Performance:

1. Paulos Abraham: 4 goals and 1 assist in 12 matches, averaging 2.42 shots per match.
2. Thomas Santos: 1 goal and 3 assists in 13 matches, averaging 1.38 shots per match.
3. Oscar Pettersson: 2 goals in 13 matches, averaging 3.00 shots per match, making him the most active attacker on the team.

Analysis and Comparison:

Defense and Goalkeeping:

Hammarby:

• Oliver Dovin: Goalkeeper with an average of 1.15 goals conceded per match and a 73.7% save rate.
• Strong defense, especially at home, with only 5 goals conceded in 6 matches.

Göteborg:

• Elis Bishesari: Goalkeeper with an average of 1.62 goals conceded per match and a 65.5% save rate.
• Vulnerable defense, especially away, with no wins in their last 5 matches.

Attacking Play and Goals:

Hammarby:

• 15 of their 21 goals were scored at home, indicating strong home attacking play.
• Besara and Gül are key players often successful in scoring.

Göteborg:

• Only 13 goals scored this season, 4 of which were away, indicating weak attacking play.
• Paulos Abraham is the only standout scorer, with the rest of the attacking line being less effective.

Team Motivation:

Hammarby:

• Competing for European competition spots, which is a strong motivator.
• Highly motivated at home, where they have been successful so far.

Göteborg:

• Fighting to avoid relegation, which puts significant pressure on them.
• Poor away form further reduces their confidence.

Injuries:

Hammarby:

• Missing Frederik Winther and Mads Fenger, which could weaken the defense slightly, but the attacking and midfield lines remain strong.

Göteborg:

• Several key players are missing due to injuries, further weakening an already struggling team.

Recommended Betting Tips (Low and Medium Risk):

Low Risk Tips:

1. Hammarby Win (Low risk 1.96x): Based on statistics and form, Hammarby is highly likely to win at home.

Medium Risk Tips: 2. Besara to Score (Medium risk 2.65x): Given Besara’s form and Göteborg’s defensive vulnerabilities, it is likely he will score. 3. Hammarby Over 1.5 Goals (Medium risk 1.68x): Given their strong home attacking play, it is likely they will score at least 2 goals in the match.

Summary:

Hammarby enters the match as the stronger team, especially at home. Göteborg’s weak away form and missing key players further reduce their chances. The recommended low-risk tips are Hammarby’s win and Besara’s goal, while the medium-risk tip is Hammarby over 1.5 goals. These tips are based on statistical data and the current form of the teams.