ITALY: Serie A – Round 10
Low-Risk Tip:
- Under 2.5 goals in the match
- Cagliari’s goals scored and conceded (7-15 this season) and Bologna’s (9-10) statistics show that both teams struggle to find the net, especially Bologna, whose xG (expected goals) values are low (8.7 xG, 7.9 npxG).
- Based on xG data and defensive stats (e.g., Cagliari 8.7 xGA, Bologna 7.9 xGA), it appears the teams have solid defenses.
- Recent meetings between the two teams have also been low-scoring, supporting this tip.
- Probability: ~65%
Odds: 1.69 – Safe Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Tip:
- 1st half draw
- Most matches between Cagliari and Bologna have tight results at halftime, with both teams often tied at the break (Cagliari 4/9, Bologna similarly often).
- Both teams play cautiously in the first half, with few goals, indicating a draw.
- Probability: ~55%
Odds: 1.98 – Safe Kelly: 1%
Based on statistics and expert analysis, the Cagliari-Bologna match appears to be a quiet, low-scoring game, with a halftime draw likely. Given the teams’ goal production and defensive stats, these tips seem safe, considering the current form and tendencies of both teams.