Bolivia – Panama

Basic Analysis of the Match Between Bolivia and Panama

Bolivia Statistical Data

• Goals and Attacks: Bolivia has not scored a single goal in the Copa América so far, which is a significant problem for their offensive play. Their xG (expected goals) value is also very low, only 0.2, indicating they have few opportunities to score.
• Defense: The defense is also weak, having conceded 7 goals in two matches, with the opponents’ xG at 5.4, indicating that the defense often allows dangerous situations for the opponents.
• Player Performance: Key players like Luis Haquín and José Sagredo are trying based on their defensive statistics, but not effectively (e.g., Haquín has 4 successful tackles out of 8 attempts, Sagredo has 3 successful tackles out of 3 attempts).

Panama Statistical Data

• Goals and Attacks: Panama is doing better, having scored 3 goals, and their xG is 1.3, indicating they use their chances more effectively.
• Defense: Panama’s defense is also better, although they conceded 4 goals, the opponents’ xG is 2.6. This indicates they allow fewer significant opportunities.
• Player Performance: Notable performance by Michael Amir Murillo, who scored 1 goal in 2 matches and had several successful defensive actions.

Expert Analysis

• Motivation and Lineup: Experts highlight that this is Bolivia’s last chance to progress in the group, which increases their motivation. In contrast, Panama has already secured one win and one loss, so they are in a more stable position.
• Injuries and Absences: Experts note that Bolivia has several key players missing, further weakening the team.

My Tips

Low-Risk Tips

1. Bolivia does not score: Based on Bolivia’s attacking statistics, their chances of scoring are very low. (Low risk)
2. Panama executes more corners: Panama’s more offensive playing style and more corners in previous matches support this. (Low risk)

Medium-Risk Tips

1. Panama wins: Although Panama is not outstanding, their current form and Bolivia’s weak defense give them a higher chance of winning. (Medium risk)

Safe Combination (Bet Builder)

1. Panama wins or draw + Panama executes more corners

Detailed Analysis

Bolivia Statistical Analysis

• Goals and Attacks: Bolivia’s offensive play is particularly weak. Their total xG is 0.2, indicating they have very few scoring opportunities. Their best player, Miguel Terceros, has only achieved 0.1 xG.
• Defense: Their defense is also weak, conceding 7 goals in 2 matches. Opponents easily get opportunities (5.4 xG against them), showing the defense’s instability.
• Passing and Ball Possession: Their passing accuracy is relatively good (78.2%), but the number of progressive passes and forward runs (PrgP and PrgC) is low, indicating few offensive actions.

Panama Statistical Analysis

• Goals and Attacks: Panama’s offensive play is much better. Their xG is 1.3, and they have scored 3 goals, indicating they are efficient in utilizing their opportunities. Michael Amir Murillo and José Fajardo are performing particularly well.
• Defense: Their defense is more stable than Bolivia’s. Although they conceded 4 goals, the opponents’ xG is 2.6, indicating they allow fewer significant opportunities.
• Passing and Ball Possession: Panama’s passing accuracy is also high (78.4%), and they have more progressive passes and forward runs, indicating a more offensive style of play.

Expert Analysis Supplement

• Motivation and Strategy: Experts suggest that Panama is in a more stable position and under less pressure, allowing them to play more freely. Bolivia, however, must win at all costs, which may result in riskier play.
• Tactical Elements: Experts note that Panama tends to win more corners and concede fewer goals from counterattacks, giving them an advantage.

Conclusion

Low-risk tips, such as Bolivia not scoring and Panama executing more corners, are more reliable as they are based on statistical data and the teams’ previous performances. The medium-risk tip of Panama winning is also likely, but there are more uncertainties.

Based on the analysis, the most reliable tips are:

1. Bolivia does not score (Low risk)
2. Panama executes more corners (Low risk)
3. Panama wins (Medium risk)
4. Panama wins or draw + Panama executes more corners