Germany: Bundesliga – Round 2, August 31, 2024
The clash between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig promises to be an exciting match, as both teams are in strong form early in the season. Based on statistical data and expert analysis, I provide the following detailed analysis and recommendations regarding the match.
Match Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen: Leverkusen enters the match with a 43-game unbeaten streak, a remarkable achievement in the Bundesliga. They have started this season well, with three wins, including an exciting 3-2 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach. Their attacking play is highly effective, particularly in added time, where they scored several decisive goals last season. Florian Wirtz’s presence is especially important as he is a creative midfielder who already scored in the first round.
Statistically, Leverkusen’s attacking play is strong: their expected goals (xG) per match is 2.7, indicating a high level of attacking efficiency. Additionally, their passing accuracy is outstanding at 85.1%, ensuring stable ball possession.
RB Leipzig: Leipzig also started the season well with a 1-0 victory against Bochum. While their defense proved effective, their attacking play still needs improvement, as highlighted by experts. The absence of Willi Orban may weaken their defense, as he is one of their most reliable defenders.
RB Leipzig’s defense is tight, but they have not kept a clean sheet in their last 20 away games, which is concerning. The team’s xG is 1.3, lower than Leverkusen’s, indicating fewer attacking opportunities. Nevertheless, their counter-attacking style can be dangerous, especially through Openda and Nusa.
Tip Analysis and Recommendations
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – (Low Risk): Both teams have strong attacking play, and statistics show that Leverkusen regularly scores while Leipzig tends to concede goals away from home. Considering Leipzig’s long away streak without a clean sheet, this tip seems likely. Probability: 65-70%
- Odds: 1.52 – Kelly: 4%
- Over 2.5 Goals in the Match – (Low Risk): Based on last season’s matches, where 10 goals were scored in two games, this tip also seems reasonable. Both Leverkusen and Leipzig are capable of scoring many goals, particularly through attacking players like Wirtz and Openda. Probability: 60-65%
- Odds: 1.49 – Kelly: 2%