Algeria – Guinea

06/06/2024, World Cup qualification

Detailed Analysis and Forecast

In the analysis ahead of the match between Algeria and Guinea, it is important to take into account both statistical data and the opinions of human experts. The combination of data and analysis will help you choose the best picks for the match.

Statistical Analysis

Statistics of Algeria:

• Algeria have won both their matches so far in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, beating Somalia 3-1 and Mozambique 2-0.
• The team’s goal average is 2.5 goals per game, while the defence has only 0.5 goals per game.
• Goalkeeper Anthony Mandrea has played in both games so far and has a 50% goals-against average.
• From the attacking section, Fares Chaïbi, Ramiz Zerrouki and Baghdad Bounedjah have already scored, giving them a versatile attacking line-up.

Statistics of Guinea:

• Guinea recorded one win and one defeat in the qualifiers, beating Uganda 2-1 but losing 1-0 to Botswana.
• The team scored 1 goal per game, while the defence scored 1 goal per game.
• Goalkeeper Ibrahim Koné played in both matches, but he only has a 50% goals-against average.
• In the attacking section, Aguibou Camara and Seydouba Cissé were effective, but lacked attacking stability.

Expert Analysis

Algeria:

• Under new coach Vladimir Petkovic, the team managed a 2-1 win over Bolivia and a 3-3 draw with South Africa.
• After the coaching change, the team’s aim is to get back on the road to success in the World Cup qualifiers.
• Among the absentees are Riyad Mahrez, Ramy Bensebaini, Islam Slimani and Youcef Belaili, but key players such as Baghdad Bounedjah, Said Benrahma and Houssem Aouar remain in the squad.

Guinea:

• Guinea’s problem is away games, where they have lost five of their last seven matches.
• The absence of Naby Keita is a significant loss, but Serhou Guirassy, who scored 28 goals for Stuttgart, will be hoping for a good performance.
• The team’s aim is to prevent Algeria from crashing out at the top of the group.

Low and Medium Risk Tip Offers

1. Algeria win or draw – double chance (Low risk):

• Algeria have won both their qualifying matches so far, while Guinea are struggling away from home. Based on the statistics and Algeria’s home advantage, a home win is likely.

1. Algeria scores more than 1.5 goals (Low risk):

• Algeria have scored an average of 2.5 goals per game in qualifying and are playing at home, where they are expected to dominate. Achieving the 1.5 goal mark is a realistic target.

Summary

Algeria are in strong form and playing at home is a big advantage. Guinea’s weakness away from home and lack of key players is expected to make them difficult to compete with. Statistics and expert analysis both suggest that Algeria are the favourites to win, but Guinea could also score, especially with the good form of Serhou Guirassy. The recommended picks are low-risk, considering the current form and statistical indicators of both teams.