ENGLAND: Championship – Round 5, September 13, 2024
Hull City Analysis
Hull City’s performance in their previous matches has been mixed. In four games, they have managed two draws and one loss. Statistically, their attacking potential is low, having scored only two goals in four league matches (0.5 goals/game). Their xG (expected goals) stands at 5.2, indicating they have scored fewer goals than expected based on their chances. Oscar Estupiñan is the biggest threat, having scored 1 goal so far and generating 1.3 xG.
Their defense is not exceptional, conceding 4 goals in four matches, but goalkeeper Ivor Pandur has an 80% save rate, suggesting the defense isn’t weak but rather bolstered by strong goalkeeping.
Passing stats indicate that Hull City’s midfielders, like Lewie Coyle (82.9% pass accuracy), can build attacks, but their build-up play is often slow. The team’s motivation level is moderate, being in the middle of the season and needing points, especially at home.
Sheffield United Analysis
Sheffield United started the season more successfully, scoring 5 goals in four matches, averaging 1.25 goals per game. Their attacking play is much more intense, with an xG of 5.7, which aligns with their actual goals scored. The most dangerous player is Kieffer Moore, who has attempted 11 shots, 5 of which were on target, and scored 1 goal. Considering his play, betting on Sheffield’s attacking success is advisable, as there is a high chance he will score again.
Defensively, they are also strong, conceding only 3 goals in 4 matches, with two clean sheets. Goalkeepers Michael Cooper and Adam Davies have performed well, with save rates of 83.3% and 60%, respectively.
Sheffield United plays a fast, possession-based game, which forces many corners and free kicks.
Low-Risk Bet:
- Sheffield Utd. Draw No Bet (Asian Handicap 0)
- Sheffield United is in better form and has shown more stable performances in previous matches, particularly in their defense. Hull City’s weak attack makes a Sheffield United win or at least a draw more likely. Additionally, Sheffield United has performed well in away matches.
Odds: 1.54 – Safe Kelly: 4%
Medium-Risk Bet:
- Over 4.5 cards
- Sheffield United is a more aggressive team, receiving more yellow cards. This match could be tense, so more than 4 cards are likely. Probability: 65%.
Odds: 1.81 – Safe Kelly: 2%